This week

This week’s edges

The Model Tracker situations that apply to games on this week’s slates: 40 edge spots across 19 of 25 games. Each shows how often it happened in that spot before, next to how often it happens otherwise. Historical rates, not picks.

28NFL edge spots in 10 of 14 games

10NBA edge spots in 7 of 9 games

2NHL edge spots in 2 of 2 games

Only edges are listed: situations that held up after accounting for team or player quality. Spots tagged from each team’s stored schedule (rest, byes, last game, last meeting, division). Weather isn’t forecast, so weather models don’t appear here. A spot marked “Both teams” applies to the game, for example a division game.

Current DraftKings and FanDuel lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET. These are not kickoff closers and can move. They’re shown for reference next to the history, and nothing here says which side to take.

NFL · 28 edge spots in 10 of 14 games

Sunday and Monday, Nov 15–16, 2026 · 13 games

NE at DET

Sun Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET · FC Bayern Munich Stadium

Neutral site: FC Bayern Munich Stadium isn’t the home team’s usual stadium, so travel and time-zone spots are skipped.

No measured edge from the models for this game.

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	NE +2.5 +100DET −2.5 −120	NE +2.5 +100DET −2.5 −120
TotalBooks differ	O 50.5 −102U 50.5 −118	O 49.5 −115U 49.5 −105
Moneyline	NE +124DET −148	NE +124DET −146

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KC at ATL 1 edge spot

Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

KC After a blowout win (letdown spot)

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
SpreadBooks differ	KC −3 −120ATL +3 +100	KC −3.5 +100ATL +3.5 −120
TotalBooks differ	O 46.5 −110U 46.5 −110	O 47.5 −105U 47.5 −115
Moneyline	KC −180ATL +150	KC −174ATL +146

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BUF at NYJ 4 edge spots

Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

Both teams Division game

35% QB 250+ passing yards vs 40% typically · 467 of 1,323 QB games

BUF After a blowout win (letdown spot)

NYJ Revenge: blown out in the last meeting

32% RB 1+ touchdowns vs 40% typically · 92 of 286 RB games

NYJ Revenge: lost the last meeting

58% QB 200+ passing yards vs 66% typically · 484 of 835 QB games

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
SpreadBooks differ	BUF −8.5 −108NYJ +8.5 −112	BUF −7.5 −115NYJ +7.5 −105
Total	O 50.5 −118U 50.5 −102	O 50.5 −120U 50.5 +100
Moneyline	BUF −440NYJ +340	BUF −460NYJ +360

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CAR at NO 2 edge spots

Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Caesars Superdome

Both teams Division game

35% QB 250+ passing yards vs 40% typically · 467 of 1,323 QB games

CAR Revenge: lost the last meeting

58% QB 200+ passing yards vs 66% typically · 484 of 835 QB games

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	CAR +2.5 −112NO −2.5 −108	CAR +2.5 −115NO −2.5 −105
Total	O 48.5 −112U 48.5 −108	O 48.5 −115U 48.5 −105
Moneyline	CAR +114NO −135	CAR +110NO −130

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HOU at CLE 1 edge spot

Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Huntington Bank Field

HOU After a blowout win (letdown spot)

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	HOU −4.5 −110CLE +4.5 −110	HOU −4.5 −115CLE +4.5 −105
Total	O 40.5 −108U 40.5 −112	O 40.5 −105U 40.5 −115
Moneyline	HOU −225CLE +185	HOU −235CLE +194

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MIN at GB 4 edge spots

Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Lambeau Field

Both teams Division game

35% QB 250+ passing yards vs 40% typically · 467 of 1,323 QB games

GB After a blowout win (letdown spot)

GB Revenge: blown out in the last meeting

32% RB 1+ touchdowns vs 40% typically · 92 of 286 RB games

GB Revenge: lost the last meeting

58% QB 200+ passing yards vs 66% typically · 484 of 835 QB games

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	MIN +3 −115GB −3 −105	MIN +3 −110GB −3 −110
TotalBooks differ	O 41.5 −115U 41.5 −105	O 42.5 −105U 42.5 −115
Moneyline	MIN +124GB −148	MIN +138GB −164

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MIA at IND

Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Lucas Oil Stadium

No measured edge from the models for this game.

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	MIA +3.5 −102IND −3.5 −118	MIA +3.5 −105IND −3.5 −115
TotalBooks differ	O 38.5 −105U 38.5 −115	O 37.5 −115U 37.5 −105
Moneyline	MIA +170IND −205	MIA +180IND −215

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JAX at TEN 5 edge spots

Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium

Both teams Division game

35% QB 250+ passing yards vs 40% typically · 467 of 1,323 QB games

JAX After a blowout win (letdown spot)

TEN Revenge: blown out in the last meeting

32% RB 1+ touchdowns vs 40% typically · 92 of 286 RB games

TEN Revenge: lost the last meeting

58% QB 200+ passing yards vs 66% typically · 484 of 835 QB games

TEN Off a bye (13+ days)

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	JAX −10.5 −112TEN +10.5 −108	JAX −10.5 −110TEN +10.5 −110
Total	O 46.5 −110U 46.5 −110	O 46.5 +100U 46.5 −120
Moneyline	JAX −600TEN +440	JAX −700TEN +500

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LAR at ARI 2 edge spots

Sun Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET · State Farm Stadium

Both teams Division game

35% QB 250+ passing yards vs 40% typically · 467 of 1,323 QB games

LAR Revenge: lost the last meeting

58% QB 200+ passing yards vs 66% typically · 484 of 835 QB games

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	LAR −9.5 −112ARI +9.5 −108	LAR −9.5 −110ARI +9.5 −110
Total	O 39.5 −108U 39.5 −112	O 39.5 −110U 39.5 −110
Moneyline	LAR −485ARI +370	LAR −550ARI +410

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SEA at LV

Sun Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium

No measured edge from the models for this game.

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	SEA −6.5 −112LV +6.5 −108	SEA −6.5 −105LV +6.5 −115
Total	O 40.5 −112U 40.5 −108	O 40.5 −110U 40.5 −110
Moneyline	SEA −298LV +240	SEA −290LV +235

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SF at DAL 1 edge spot

Sun Nov 15, 4:25 PM ET · AT&T Stadium

SF After a blowout win (letdown spot)

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
SpreadBooks differ	SF −3.5 −115DAL +3.5 −105	SF −4.5 +100DAL +4.5 −120
Total	O 55.5 −118U 55.5 −102	O 55.5 −115U 55.5 −105
Moneyline	SF −205DAL +170	SF −210DAL +176

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PIT at CIN 5 edge spots

Sun Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET · Paycor Stadium

Both teams Division game

35% QB 250+ passing yards vs 40% typically · 467 of 1,323 QB games

PIT After a blowout win (letdown spot)

PIT Off a bye (13+ days)

CIN After a blowout win (letdown spot)

CIN Revenge: lost the last meeting

58% QB 200+ passing yards vs 66% typically · 484 of 835 QB games

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	PIT +3.5 −110CIN −3.5 −110	PIT +3.5 −110CIN −3.5 −110
Total	O 49.5 −108U 49.5 −112	O 49.5 −110U 49.5 −110
Moneyline	PIT +150CIN −180	PIT +156CIN −186

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LAC at BAL

Mon Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium

No measured edge from the models for this game.

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	LAC +4.5 −112BAL −4.5 −108	LAC +4.5 −110BAL −4.5 −110
Total	O 38.5 −110U 38.5 −110	O 38.5 −115U 38.5 −105
Moneyline	LAC +190BAL −230	LAC +188BAL −220

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Thursday Night, Nov 19, 2026 · 1 game

IND at HOU 3 edge spots

Thu Nov 19, 8:15 PM ET · Reliant Stadium

Both teams Division game

35% QB 250+ passing yards vs 40% typically · 467 of 1,323 QB games

HOU After a blowout win (letdown spot)

HOU Revenge: lost the last meeting

58% QB 200+ passing yards vs 66% typically · 484 of 835 QB games

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
SpreadBooks differ	IND +10 −110HOU −10 −110	IND +9.5 −105HOU −9.5 −115
TotalBooks differ	O 44.5 −110U 44.5 −110	O 43.5 +100U 43.5 −120
Moneyline	IND +350HOU −455	IND +410HOU −550

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NBA · 10 edge spots in 7 of 9 games

Friday, Nov 13, 2026 · 9 games

NY at IND 1 edge spot

Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET · Gainbridge Fieldhouse

NY 3rd game in 4 nights

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
SpreadBooks differ	NY −6.5 −112IND +6.5 −108	NY −7.5 −104IND +7.5 −118
TotalBooks differ	O 220.5 −110U 220.5 −110	O 219.5 −106U 219.5 −114
Moneyline	NY −241IND +199	NY −280IND +230

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MIL at ORL 2 edge spots

Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET · Kia Center

MIL 3rd game in 4 nights

ORL 3rd game in 4 nights

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
SpreadBooks differ	MIL +9.5 −110ORL −9.5 −110	MIL +8.5 −104ORL −8.5 −118
Total	O 223.5 −106U 223.5 −114	O 223.5 −114U 223.5 −106
Moneyline	MIL +293ORL −368	MIL +330ORL −420

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ATL at CHI 1 edge spot

Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET · United Center

ATL Rest 2+ days

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	ATL −6.5 −110CHI +6.5 −110	ATL −6.5 −118CHI +6.5 −104
TotalBooks differ	O 246.5 −110U 246.5 −110	O 244.5 −110U 244.5 −110
Moneyline	ATL −263CHI +216	ATL −260CHI +215

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CLE at MIA 1 edge spot

Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET · Kaseya Center

MIA Rest 2+ days

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	CLE +2.5 −115MIA −2.5 −105	CLE +2.5 −118MIA −2.5 −104
TotalBooks differ	O 236.5 −110U 236.5 −110	O 235.5 −110U 235.5 −110
Moneyline	CLE +105MIA −124	CLE +114MIA −134

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MEM at NO

Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET · Smoothie King Center

No measured edge from the models for this game.

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	MEM −3.5 −110NO +3.5 −110	MEM −3.5 −110NO +3.5 −110
TotalBooks differ	O 234.5 −110U 234.5 −110	O 235.5 −110U 235.5 −110
Moneyline	MEM −158NO +133	MEM −158NO +134

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UTAH at HOU 1 edge spot

Fri Nov 13, 8:30 PM ET · Toyota Center (Houston)

UTAH 3rd game in 4 nights

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	UTAH +17.5 −105HOU −17.5 −115	UTAH +17.5 −114HOU −17.5 −106
TotalBooks differ	O 217.5 −110U 217.5 −110	O 218.5 −115U 218.5 −105
Moneyline	UTAH +900HOU −1580	UTAH +900HOU −1600

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GS at SA

Fri Nov 13, 9:30 PM ET · Frost Bank Center

No measured edge from the models for this game.

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	GS +13.5 −110SA −13.5 −110	GS +13.5 −110SA −13.5 −110
Total	O 218.5 −110U 218.5 −110	O 218.5 −114U 218.5 −106
Moneyline	GS +528SA −750	GS +610SA −900

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POR at SAC 2 edge spots

Fri Nov 13, 10:00 PM ET · Golden 1 Center

POR 3rd game in 4 nights

SAC Rest 2+ days

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	POR −10.5 −110SAC +10.5 −110	POR −10.5 −120SAC +10.5 −102
TotalBooks differ	O 229.5 −110U 229.5 −110	O 230.5 −108U 230.5 −112
Moneyline	POR −569SAC +426	POR −560SAC +420

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OKC at LAC 2 edge spots

Fri Nov 13, 10:30 PM ET · Intuit Dome

OKC 3rd game in 4 nights

LAC Rest 2+ days

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Spread	OKC −7.5 −110LAC +7.5 −110	OKC −7.5 −118LAC +7.5 −104
TotalBooks differ	O 221.5 −110U 221.5 −110	O 222.5 −112U 222.5 −108
Moneyline	OKC −276LAC +226	OKC −300LAC +245

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NHL · 2 edge spots in 2 of 2 games

Friday, Nov 13, 2026 · 2 games

NYR at VAN 1 edge spot

Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET · Rogers Arena

VAN Rest 2+ days

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Puck line	NYR −1.5 +114VAN +1.5 −135	NYR −1.5 +114VAN +1.5 −140
Total	O 6.5 −105U 6.5 −115	O 6.5 −104U 6.5 −118
Moneyline	NYR −225VAN +185	NYR −220VAN +180

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NSH at VGK 1 edge spot

Fri Nov 13, 10:00 PM ET · T-Mobile Arena

NSH 3rd game in 4 nights

Current lines as of Thu Nov 12, 10:58 PM ET
	DraftKings	FanDuel
Puck line	NSH +1.5 −162VGK −1.5 +136	NSH +1.5 −162VGK −1.5 +132
TotalBooks differ	O 5.5 −135U 5.5 +114	O 6.5 +114U 6.5 −140
Moneyline	NSH +154VGK −185	NSH +152VGK −184

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Percentage points are the difference between two rates. A lower number is a lower rate, not a betting instruction. See every model on Model Tracker.