NHL · All time: Myth checked
Facing a former team
pp means percentage points: the difference between two rates. For example, 40% versus 62% is −22 percentage points. A minus means the rate was lower than the baseline; a plus means it was higher.
All time: 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11.
Myth checked
Checked: no clear difference. Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 40.5% of games, vs 38.6%. Not a clear difference.
- In the spot
- 40.5%
- Baseline
- 38.6%
- Sample
- 1,473 player-games
- Adjusted
- +2.0 pp vs each player’s own norm
See all 1,473 player-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss
Myth checked 7 measures
No clear difference from the baseline.
| Measure | In spot | Baseline | Diff. | n | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skater 2+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 2+ shots on goal → | 40.5% | 38.6% | +2.0 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 40.5% of games, vs 38.6%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 3+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 3+ shots on goal → | 19.7% | 17.8% | +1.9 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 3+ shots on goal in 19.7% of games, vs 17.8%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 4+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 4+ shots on goal → | 8.3% | 7.4% | +0.8 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 4+ shots on goal in 8.3% of games, vs 7.4%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ goalsSee the games for Skater 1+ goals → | 12.6% | 13.1% | −0.5 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ goals in 12.6% of games, vs 13.1%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ assistsSee the games for Skater 1+ assists → | 21.5% | 21.4% | +0.1 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ assists in 21.5% of games, vs 21.4%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ pointsSee the games for Skater 1+ points → | 31.0% | 31.2% | −0.3 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ points in 31.0% of games, vs 31.2%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater avg shots on goalSee the games for Skater avg shots on goal → | 1.5 | 1.4 | +0.1 | 1,473 | Skaters averaged 1.5 shots on goal, vs 1.4. Not a clear difference. |
This season: 2026-27, in progress: 290 games through 2026-11-11.
Myth checked
Checked: no clear difference. Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 43.7% of games, vs 38.5%. Not a clear difference.
- In the spot
- 43.7%
- Baseline
- 38.5%
- Sample
- 206 player-games
- Adjusted
- +4.7 pp vs each player’s own norm
See all 206 player-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss
Myth checked 7 measures
No clear difference from the baseline.
| Measure | In spot | Baseline | Diff. | n | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skater 2+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 2+ shots on goal → | 43.7% | 38.5% | +5.2 pp | 206 | Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 43.7% of games, vs 38.5%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 3+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 3+ shots on goal → | 22.3% | 19.0% | +3.3 pp | 206 | Skaters reached 3+ shots on goal in 22.3% of games, vs 19.0%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 4+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 4+ shots on goal → | 11.7% | 7.9% | +3.7 pp | 206 | Skaters reached 4+ shots on goal in 11.7% of games, vs 7.9%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ assistsSee the games for Skater 1+ assists → | 24.8% | 22.2% | +2.6 pp | 206 | Skaters reached 1+ assists in 24.8% of games, vs 22.2%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ pointsSee the games for Skater 1+ points → | 35.4% | 32.3% | +3.2 pp | 206 | Skaters reached 1+ points in 35.4% of games, vs 32.3%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ goalsSee the games for Skater 1+ goals → | 15.5% | 13.8% | +1.7 pp | 206 | Skaters reached 1+ goals in 15.5% of games, vs 13.8%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater avg shots on goalSee the games for Skater avg shots on goal → | 1.6 | 1.4 | +0.2 | 206 | Skaters averaged 1.6 shots on goal, vs 1.4. Not a clear difference. |
Last season: 2025-26 (1 season).
Myth checked
Checked: no clear difference. Skaters reached 3+ shots on goal in 19.3% of games, vs 17.9%. Not a clear difference.
- In the spot
- 19.3%
- Baseline
- 17.9%
- Sample
- 730 player-games
- Adjusted
- +2.5 pp vs each player’s own norm
See all 730 player-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss
Myth checked 7 measures
No clear difference from the baseline.
| Measure | In spot | Baseline | Diff. | n | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skater 3+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 3+ shots on goal → | 19.3% | 17.9% | +1.4 pp | 730 | Skaters reached 3+ shots on goal in 19.3% of games, vs 17.9%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 2+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 2+ shots on goal → | 39.6% | 39.0% | +0.6 pp | 730 | Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 39.6% of games, vs 39.0%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ assistsSee the games for Skater 1+ assists → | 20.1% | 22.1% | −1.9 pp | 730 | Skaters reached 1+ assists in 20.1% of games, vs 22.1%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ goalsSee the games for Skater 1+ goals → | 12.2% | 13.7% | −1.5 pp | 730 | Skaters reached 1+ goals in 12.2% of games, vs 13.7%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ pointsSee the games for Skater 1+ points → | 30.1% | 32.2% | −2.1 pp | 730 | Skaters reached 1+ points in 30.1% of games, vs 32.2%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 4+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 4+ shots on goal → | 6.8% | 7.6% | −0.7 pp | 730 | Skaters reached 4+ shots on goal in 6.8% of games, vs 7.6%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater avg shots on goalSee the games for Skater avg shots on goal → | 1.4 | 1.4 | −0.0 | 730 | Skaters averaged 1.4 shots on goal, vs 1.4. Not a clear difference. |
Last 5 seasons: 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11; only 4 seasons stored, so this equals all time.
Myth checked
Checked: no clear difference. Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 40.5% of games, vs 38.6%. Not a clear difference.
- In the spot
- 40.5%
- Baseline
- 38.6%
- Sample
- 1,473 player-games
- Adjusted
- +2.0 pp vs each player’s own norm
See all 1,473 player-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss
Myth checked 7 measures
No clear difference from the baseline.
| Measure | In spot | Baseline | Diff. | n | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skater 2+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 2+ shots on goal → | 40.5% | 38.6% | +2.0 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 40.5% of games, vs 38.6%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 3+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 3+ shots on goal → | 19.7% | 17.8% | +1.9 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 3+ shots on goal in 19.7% of games, vs 17.8%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 4+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 4+ shots on goal → | 8.3% | 7.4% | +0.8 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 4+ shots on goal in 8.3% of games, vs 7.4%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ goalsSee the games for Skater 1+ goals → | 12.6% | 13.1% | −0.5 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ goals in 12.6% of games, vs 13.1%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ assistsSee the games for Skater 1+ assists → | 21.5% | 21.4% | +0.1 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ assists in 21.5% of games, vs 21.4%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ pointsSee the games for Skater 1+ points → | 31.0% | 31.2% | −0.3 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ points in 31.0% of games, vs 31.2%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater avg shots on goalSee the games for Skater avg shots on goal → | 1.5 | 1.4 | +0.1 | 1,473 | Skaters averaged 1.5 shots on goal, vs 1.4. Not a clear difference. |
Last 10 seasons: 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11; only 4 seasons stored, so this equals all time.
Myth checked
Checked: no clear difference. Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 40.5% of games, vs 38.6%. Not a clear difference.
- In the spot
- 40.5%
- Baseline
- 38.6%
- Sample
- 1,473 player-games
- Adjusted
- +2.0 pp vs each player’s own norm
See all 1,473 player-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss
Myth checked 7 measures
No clear difference from the baseline.
| Measure | In spot | Baseline | Diff. | n | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skater 2+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 2+ shots on goal → | 40.5% | 38.6% | +2.0 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 40.5% of games, vs 38.6%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 3+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 3+ shots on goal → | 19.7% | 17.8% | +1.9 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 3+ shots on goal in 19.7% of games, vs 17.8%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 4+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 4+ shots on goal → | 8.3% | 7.4% | +0.8 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 4+ shots on goal in 8.3% of games, vs 7.4%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ goalsSee the games for Skater 1+ goals → | 12.6% | 13.1% | −0.5 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ goals in 12.6% of games, vs 13.1%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ assistsSee the games for Skater 1+ assists → | 21.5% | 21.4% | +0.1 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ assists in 21.5% of games, vs 21.4%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ pointsSee the games for Skater 1+ points → | 31.0% | 31.2% | −0.3 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ points in 31.0% of games, vs 31.2%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater avg shots on goalSee the games for Skater avg shots on goal → | 1.5 | 1.4 | +0.1 | 1,473 | Skaters averaged 1.5 shots on goal, vs 1.4. Not a clear difference. |
Last 20 seasons: 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11; only 4 seasons stored, so this equals all time.
Myth checked
Checked: no clear difference. Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 40.5% of games, vs 38.6%. Not a clear difference.
- In the spot
- 40.5%
- Baseline
- 38.6%
- Sample
- 1,473 player-games
- Adjusted
- +2.0 pp vs each player’s own norm
See all 1,473 player-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss
Myth checked 7 measures
No clear difference from the baseline.
| Measure | In spot | Baseline | Diff. | n | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skater 2+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 2+ shots on goal → | 40.5% | 38.6% | +2.0 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 2+ shots on goal in 40.5% of games, vs 38.6%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 3+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 3+ shots on goal → | 19.7% | 17.8% | +1.9 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 3+ shots on goal in 19.7% of games, vs 17.8%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 4+ shots on goalSee the games for Skater 4+ shots on goal → | 8.3% | 7.4% | +0.8 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 4+ shots on goal in 8.3% of games, vs 7.4%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ goalsSee the games for Skater 1+ goals → | 12.6% | 13.1% | −0.5 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ goals in 12.6% of games, vs 13.1%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ assistsSee the games for Skater 1+ assists → | 21.5% | 21.4% | +0.1 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ assists in 21.5% of games, vs 21.4%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater 1+ pointsSee the games for Skater 1+ points → | 31.0% | 31.2% | −0.3 pp | 1,473 | Skaters reached 1+ points in 31.0% of games, vs 31.2%. Not a clear difference. |
| Skater avg shots on goalSee the games for Skater avg shots on goal → | 1.5 | 1.4 | +0.1 | 1,473 | Skaters averaged 1.5 shots on goal, vs 1.4. Not a clear difference. |
The games every game behind these numbers
Every game that counts toward the rates above, newest first. Hit (green) means the thing being measured happened in that game; Miss (red) means it didn’t. Averages (points, margin, totals) show the actual number with no color. Player and team-scoring lists can also be colored by a second method, picked with the “Hit or miss means” switch: did they go over their own season average entering that game (earlier games that season only, at least 3 of them; not a Vegas line). Click any game for the full breakdown. The list follows the season window above and adds up exactly to the published numbers.
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Definitions
- The spot
- Opponent is a team the player has stored games for and has since left (games-row history only; NHL ARI=UTA)
- Baseline
- Same players (anyone with a former team at that date) vs all other opponents
- All-time seasons
- 20232024, 20242025, 20252026, 20262027, through 2026-11-11
- Sample rule
- game/team grain: 200+ distinct games; league-wide player grain: 100+ player-games from 30+ games; player-specific: 30+ games; plays: 200+; and BH q<=0.1 for "published". The same rule applies inside every season window.
- pp
- Percentage points: the difference between two rates. For example, 40% versus 62% is −22 percentage points. A minus means the rate was lower than the baseline; a plus means it was higher. This is a description of the rates, not a betting instruction.
“X+” means the value reached X or more, so a push can’t happen. Intervals are the wider of a 95% Wilson interval and a game-clustered interval. Shorter windows are recomputed from the games in those seasons, never scaled from the all-time rate. See the methodology.