NFL · All time: Myth checked

Game after overtime

pp means percentage points: the difference between two rates. For example, 40% versus 62% is −22 percentage points. A minus means the rate was lower than the baseline; a plus means it was higher.

All time: 2020 to 2026 (7 seasons); 2026 in progress, through 2026-11-09.

Myth checked

Checked: no clear difference. Teams won 47.6% of games in this spot, vs 50.0% in the baseline. Not a clear difference.

In the spot: 47.6%
Baseline: 50.0%
Sample: 206 team-games
Adjusted: −4.2 pp vs expectation for team strength

See all 206 team-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss

Myth checked 20 measures

No clear difference from the baseline.

Measure	In spot	Baseline	Diff.	n	What it means
Win rateSee the games for Win rate →	47.6%	50.0%	−2.4 pp	206	Teams won 47.6% of games in this spot, vs 50.0% in the baseline. Not a clear difference.
RB 1+ TDSee the games for RB 1+ TD →	37.3%	39.9%	−2.6 pp	279	RBs reached 1+ TD in 37.3% of games, vs 39.9%. Not a clear difference.
RB 100+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 100+ rush yds →	10.4%	12.6%	−2.2 pp	279	RBs reached 100+ rush yds in 10.4% of games, vs 12.6%. Not a clear difference.
RB 70+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 70+ rush yds →	30.5%	29.6%	+0.8 pp	279	RBs reached 70+ rush yds in 30.5% of games, vs 29.6%. Not a clear difference.
QB 250+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 250+ pass yds →	41.9%	38.2%	+3.7 pp	215	QBs reached 250+ pass yds in 41.9% of games, vs 38.2%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 1+ TDSee the games for WR/TE 1+ TD →	24.4%	22.3%	+2.1 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 1+ TD in 24.4% of games, vs 22.3%. Not a clear difference.
QB 2+ pass TDSee the games for QB 2+ pass TD →	44.2%	43.4%	+0.7 pp	215	QBs reached 2+ pass TD in 44.2% of games, vs 43.4%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 70+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 70+ rec yds →	16.9%	16.6%	+0.3 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 70+ rec yds in 16.9% of games, vs 16.6%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 40+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 40+ rec yds →	39.6%	39.2%	+0.4 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 40+ rec yds in 39.6% of games, vs 39.2%. Not a clear difference.
RB 50+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 50+ rush yds →	52.0%	49.8%	+2.2 pp	279	RBs reached 50+ rush yds in 52.0% of games, vs 49.8%. Not a clear difference.
QB 200+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 200+ pass yds →	64.2%	63.8%	+0.4 pp	215	QBs reached 200+ pass yds in 64.2% of games, vs 63.8%. Not a clear difference.
QB 225+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 225+ pass yds →	52.1%	50.9%	+1.2 pp	215	QBs reached 225+ pass yds in 52.1% of games, vs 50.9%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 50+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 50+ rec yds →	30.8%	29.7%	+1.0 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 50+ rec yds in 30.8% of games, vs 29.7%. Not a clear difference.
RB avg rush ydsSee the games for RB avg rush yds →	55.7	55.9	−0.2	279	RBs averaged 55.7 rush yds, vs 55.9. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE avg rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE avg rec yds →	39.9	38.4	+1.4	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) averaged 39.9 rec yds, vs 38.4. Not a clear difference.
Avg marginSee the games for Avg margin →	0.5	-0.0	+0.5	206	Average margin +0.5 vs −0.0 in the baseline. Not a clear difference.
QB avg pass ydsSee the games for QB avg pass yds →	230.5	226.3	+4.3	215	QBs averaged 230.5 pass yds, vs 226.3. Not a clear difference.
Avg scoredSee the games for Avg scored →	22.5	23.0	−0.4	206	Teams scored 22.5 points a game, vs 23.0. Not a clear difference.
Avg allowedSee the games for Avg allowed →	22.0	23.0	−1.0	206	Teams allowed 22.0 points a game, vs 23.0. Not a clear difference.
game totalSee the games for game total →	44.6	46.0	−1.4	206	Teams averaged 44.6 game total, vs 46.0. Not a clear difference.

This season: 2026, in progress: 136 games through 2026-11-09.

Too small

Too small to publish in this window: n=21 from 21 games (the floor is 200+ games).

Sample in this window: 21 team-games
Floor to publish: 200+ games

See all 21 team-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss

Too small 20 measures

Below the sample floor in this window, so it isn’t published as a finding.

Measure	In spot	Baseline	Diff.	n	What it means
Win rateSee the games for Win rate →	–	–	–	21	Too small to publish in this window: n=21 from 21 games (the floor is 200+ games).
QB 200+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 200+ pass yds →	–	–	–	22	Too small to publish in this window: n=22 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
QB 225+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 225+ pass yds →	–	–	–	22	Too small to publish in this window: n=22 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
QB 2+ pass TDSee the games for QB 2+ pass TD →	–	–	–	22	Too small to publish in this window: n=22 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
QB 250+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 250+ pass yds →	–	–	–	22	Too small to publish in this window: n=22 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
RB 50+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 50+ rush yds →	–	–	–	28	Too small to publish in this window: n=28 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
WR/TE 50+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 50+ rec yds →	–	–	–	113	Too small to publish in this window: n=113 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
WR/TE 40+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 40+ rec yds →	–	–	–	113	Too small to publish in this window: n=113 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
RB 1+ TDSee the games for RB 1+ TD →	–	–	–	28	Too small to publish in this window: n=28 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
WR/TE 1+ TDSee the games for WR/TE 1+ TD →	–	–	–	113	Too small to publish in this window: n=113 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
RB 70+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 70+ rush yds →	–	–	–	28	Too small to publish in this window: n=28 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
WR/TE 70+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 70+ rec yds →	–	–	–	113	Too small to publish in this window: n=113 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
RB 100+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 100+ rush yds →	–	–	–	28	Too small to publish in this window: n=28 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
QB avg pass ydsSee the games for QB avg pass yds →	–	–	–	22	Too small to publish in this window: n=22 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
RB avg rush ydsSee the games for RB avg rush yds →	–	–	–	28	Too small to publish in this window: n=28 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
WR/TE avg rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE avg rec yds →	–	–	–	113	Too small to publish in this window: n=113 from 21 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
Avg marginSee the games for Avg margin →	–	–	–	21	Too small to publish in this window: n=21 from 21 games (the floor is 200+ games).
Avg scoredSee the games for Avg scored →	–	–	–	21	Too small to publish in this window: n=21 from 21 games (the floor is 200+ games).
Avg allowedSee the games for Avg allowed →	–	–	–	21	Too small to publish in this window: n=21 from 21 games (the floor is 200+ games).
game totalSee the games for game total →	–	–	–	21	Too small to publish in this window: n=21 from 21 games (the floor is 200+ games).

Last season: 2025 (1 season).

Myth checked

Checked: no clear difference. Receivers (WR/TE) reached 50+ rec yds in 24.7% of games, vs 26.0%. Not a clear difference.

In the spot: 24.7%
Baseline: 26.0%
Sample: 150 player-games
Adjusted: −3.4 pp vs each player’s own norm

See all 150 player-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss

Myth checked 5 measures

No clear difference from the baseline.

Measure	In spot	Baseline	Diff.	n	What it means
WR/TE 50+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 50+ rec yds →	24.7%	26.0%	−1.3 pp	150	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 50+ rec yds in 24.7% of games, vs 26.0%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 70+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 70+ rec yds →	13.3%	14.5%	−1.2 pp	150	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 70+ rec yds in 13.3% of games, vs 14.5%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 40+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 40+ rec yds →	36.7%	35.4%	+1.2 pp	150	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 40+ rec yds in 36.7% of games, vs 35.4%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 1+ TDSee the games for WR/TE 1+ TD →	24.0%	22.0%	+2.0 pp	150	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 1+ TD in 24.0% of games, vs 22.0%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE avg rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE avg rec yds →	36.1	36.0	+0.2	150	Receivers (WR/TE) averaged 36.1 rec yds, vs 36.0. Not a clear difference.

Too small 15 measures

Below the sample floor in this window, so it isn’t published as a finding.

Measure	In spot	Baseline	Diff.	n	What it means
Win rateSee the games for Win rate →	–	–	–	30	Too small to publish in this window: n=30 from 30 games (the floor is 200+ games).
QB 200+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 200+ pass yds →	–	–	–	31	Too small to publish in this window: n=31 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
QB 225+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 225+ pass yds →	–	–	–	31	Too small to publish in this window: n=31 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
RB 50+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 50+ rush yds →	–	–	–	45	Too small to publish in this window: n=45 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
QB 250+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 250+ pass yds →	–	–	–	31	Too small to publish in this window: n=31 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
RB 70+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 70+ rush yds →	–	–	–	45	Too small to publish in this window: n=45 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
QB 2+ pass TDSee the games for QB 2+ pass TD →	–	–	–	31	Too small to publish in this window: n=31 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
RB 1+ TDSee the games for RB 1+ TD →	–	–	–	45	Too small to publish in this window: n=45 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
RB 100+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 100+ rush yds →	–	–	–	45	Too small to publish in this window: n=45 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
QB avg pass ydsSee the games for QB avg pass yds →	–	–	–	31	Too small to publish in this window: n=31 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
Avg marginSee the games for Avg margin →	–	–	–	30	Too small to publish in this window: n=30 from 30 games (the floor is 200+ games).
RB avg rush ydsSee the games for RB avg rush yds →	–	–	–	45	Too small to publish in this window: n=45 from 30 games (the floor is 100+ player-games from 30+ games).
Avg scoredSee the games for Avg scored →	–	–	–	30	Too small to publish in this window: n=30 from 30 games (the floor is 200+ games).
Avg allowedSee the games for Avg allowed →	–	–	–	30	Too small to publish in this window: n=30 from 30 games (the floor is 200+ games).
game totalSee the games for game total →	–	–	–	30	Too small to publish in this window: n=30 from 30 games (the floor is 200+ games).

Last 5 seasons: 2022 to 2026 (5 seasons); 2026 in progress, through 2026-11-09.

Myth checked

Checked: no clear difference. RBs reached 1+ TD in 34.2% of games, vs 39.5%. Not a clear difference.

In the spot: 34.2%
Baseline: 39.5%
Sample: 202 player-games
Adjusted: −8.4 pp vs each player’s own norm

See all 202 player-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss

Myth checked 15 measures

No clear difference from the baseline.

Measure	In spot	Baseline	Diff.	n	What it means
RB 1+ TDSee the games for RB 1+ TD →	34.2%	39.5%	−5.3 pp	202	RBs reached 1+ TD in 34.2% of games, vs 39.5%. Not a clear difference.
RB 70+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 70+ rush yds →	27.7%	30.5%	−2.7 pp	202	RBs reached 70+ rush yds in 27.7% of games, vs 30.5%. Not a clear difference.
RB 100+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 100+ rush yds →	8.9%	12.9%	−4.0 pp	202	RBs reached 100+ rush yds in 8.9% of games, vs 12.9%. Not a clear difference.
QB 250+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 250+ pass yds →	42.0%	36.4%	+5.6 pp	150	QBs reached 250+ pass yds in 42.0% of games, vs 36.4%. Not a clear difference.
QB 225+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 225+ pass yds →	52.0%	48.9%	+3.1 pp	150	QBs reached 225+ pass yds in 52.0% of games, vs 48.9%. Not a clear difference.
RB 50+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 50+ rush yds →	50.0%	49.7%	+0.3 pp	202	RBs reached 50+ rush yds in 50.0% of games, vs 49.7%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 50+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 50+ rec yds →	30.7%	29.0%	+1.7 pp	722	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 50+ rec yds in 30.7% of games, vs 29.0%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 70+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 70+ rec yds →	17.0%	16.3%	+0.7 pp	722	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 70+ rec yds in 17.0% of games, vs 16.3%. Not a clear difference.
QB 2+ pass TDSee the games for QB 2+ pass TD →	42.7%	41.4%	+1.2 pp	150	QBs reached 2+ pass TD in 42.7% of games, vs 41.4%. Not a clear difference.
QB 200+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 200+ pass yds →	62.7%	62.4%	+0.3 pp	150	QBs reached 200+ pass yds in 62.7% of games, vs 62.4%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 1+ TDSee the games for WR/TE 1+ TD →	22.7%	21.8%	+0.9 pp	722	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 1+ TD in 22.7% of games, vs 21.8%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 40+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 40+ rec yds →	39.5%	38.4%	+1.1 pp	722	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 40+ rec yds in 39.5% of games, vs 38.4%. Not a clear difference.
RB avg rush ydsSee the games for RB avg rush yds →	53.3	56.0	−2.8	202	RBs averaged 53.3 rush yds, vs 56.0. Not a clear difference.
QB avg pass ydsSee the games for QB avg pass yds →	229.7	222.5	+7.2	150	QBs averaged 229.7 pass yds, vs 222.5. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE avg rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE avg rec yds →	40.1	37.8	+2.4	722	Receivers (WR/TE) averaged 40.1 rec yds, vs 37.8. Not a clear difference.

Too small 5 measures

Below the sample floor in this window, so it isn’t published as a finding.

Measure	In spot	Baseline	Diff.	n	What it means
Win rateSee the games for Win rate →	–	–	–	144	Too small to publish in this window: n=144 from 141 games (the floor is 200+ games).
Avg marginSee the games for Avg margin →	–	–	–	144	Too small to publish in this window: n=144 from 141 games (the floor is 200+ games).
Avg scoredSee the games for Avg scored →	–	–	–	144	Too small to publish in this window: n=144 from 141 games (the floor is 200+ games).
Avg allowedSee the games for Avg allowed →	–	–	–	144	Too small to publish in this window: n=144 from 141 games (the floor is 200+ games).
game totalSee the games for game total →	–	–	–	144	Too small to publish in this window: n=144 from 141 games (the floor is 200+ games).

Last 10 seasons: 2020 to 2026 (7 seasons); 2026 in progress, through 2026-11-09; only 7 seasons stored, so this equals all time.

Myth checked

Checked: no clear difference. Teams won 47.6% of games in this spot, vs 50.0% in the baseline. Not a clear difference.

In the spot: 47.6%
Baseline: 50.0%
Sample: 206 team-games
Adjusted: −4.2 pp vs expectation for team strength

See all 206 team-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss

Myth checked 20 measures

No clear difference from the baseline.

Measure	In spot	Baseline	Diff.	n	What it means
Win rateSee the games for Win rate →	47.6%	50.0%	−2.4 pp	206	Teams won 47.6% of games in this spot, vs 50.0% in the baseline. Not a clear difference.
RB 1+ TDSee the games for RB 1+ TD →	37.3%	39.9%	−2.6 pp	279	RBs reached 1+ TD in 37.3% of games, vs 39.9%. Not a clear difference.
RB 100+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 100+ rush yds →	10.4%	12.6%	−2.2 pp	279	RBs reached 100+ rush yds in 10.4% of games, vs 12.6%. Not a clear difference.
RB 70+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 70+ rush yds →	30.5%	29.6%	+0.8 pp	279	RBs reached 70+ rush yds in 30.5% of games, vs 29.6%. Not a clear difference.
QB 250+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 250+ pass yds →	41.9%	38.2%	+3.7 pp	215	QBs reached 250+ pass yds in 41.9% of games, vs 38.2%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 1+ TDSee the games for WR/TE 1+ TD →	24.4%	22.3%	+2.1 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 1+ TD in 24.4% of games, vs 22.3%. Not a clear difference.
QB 2+ pass TDSee the games for QB 2+ pass TD →	44.2%	43.4%	+0.7 pp	215	QBs reached 2+ pass TD in 44.2% of games, vs 43.4%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 70+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 70+ rec yds →	16.9%	16.6%	+0.3 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 70+ rec yds in 16.9% of games, vs 16.6%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 40+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 40+ rec yds →	39.6%	39.2%	+0.4 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 40+ rec yds in 39.6% of games, vs 39.2%. Not a clear difference.
RB 50+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 50+ rush yds →	52.0%	49.8%	+2.2 pp	279	RBs reached 50+ rush yds in 52.0% of games, vs 49.8%. Not a clear difference.
QB 200+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 200+ pass yds →	64.2%	63.8%	+0.4 pp	215	QBs reached 200+ pass yds in 64.2% of games, vs 63.8%. Not a clear difference.
QB 225+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 225+ pass yds →	52.1%	50.9%	+1.2 pp	215	QBs reached 225+ pass yds in 52.1% of games, vs 50.9%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 50+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 50+ rec yds →	30.8%	29.7%	+1.0 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 50+ rec yds in 30.8% of games, vs 29.7%. Not a clear difference.
RB avg rush ydsSee the games for RB avg rush yds →	55.7	55.9	−0.2	279	RBs averaged 55.7 rush yds, vs 55.9. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE avg rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE avg rec yds →	39.9	38.4	+1.4	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) averaged 39.9 rec yds, vs 38.4. Not a clear difference.
Avg marginSee the games for Avg margin →	0.5	-0.0	+0.5	206	Average margin +0.5 vs −0.0 in the baseline. Not a clear difference.
QB avg pass ydsSee the games for QB avg pass yds →	230.5	226.3	+4.3	215	QBs averaged 230.5 pass yds, vs 226.3. Not a clear difference.
Avg scoredSee the games for Avg scored →	22.5	23.0	−0.4	206	Teams scored 22.5 points a game, vs 23.0. Not a clear difference.
Avg allowedSee the games for Avg allowed →	22.0	23.0	−1.0	206	Teams allowed 22.0 points a game, vs 23.0. Not a clear difference.
game totalSee the games for game total →	44.6	46.0	−1.4	206	Teams averaged 44.6 game total, vs 46.0. Not a clear difference.

Last 20 seasons: 2020 to 2026 (7 seasons); 2026 in progress, through 2026-11-09; only 7 seasons stored, so this equals all time.

Myth checked

Checked: no clear difference. Teams won 47.6% of games in this spot, vs 50.0% in the baseline. Not a clear difference.

In the spot: 47.6%
Baseline: 50.0%
Sample: 206 team-games
Adjusted: −4.2 pp vs expectation for team strength

See all 206 team-games behind this →Every one listed with its result, Hit or Miss

Myth checked 20 measures

No clear difference from the baseline.

Measure	In spot	Baseline	Diff.	n	What it means
Win rateSee the games for Win rate →	47.6%	50.0%	−2.4 pp	206	Teams won 47.6% of games in this spot, vs 50.0% in the baseline. Not a clear difference.
RB 1+ TDSee the games for RB 1+ TD →	37.3%	39.9%	−2.6 pp	279	RBs reached 1+ TD in 37.3% of games, vs 39.9%. Not a clear difference.
RB 100+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 100+ rush yds →	10.4%	12.6%	−2.2 pp	279	RBs reached 100+ rush yds in 10.4% of games, vs 12.6%. Not a clear difference.
RB 70+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 70+ rush yds →	30.5%	29.6%	+0.8 pp	279	RBs reached 70+ rush yds in 30.5% of games, vs 29.6%. Not a clear difference.
QB 250+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 250+ pass yds →	41.9%	38.2%	+3.7 pp	215	QBs reached 250+ pass yds in 41.9% of games, vs 38.2%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 1+ TDSee the games for WR/TE 1+ TD →	24.4%	22.3%	+2.1 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 1+ TD in 24.4% of games, vs 22.3%. Not a clear difference.
QB 2+ pass TDSee the games for QB 2+ pass TD →	44.2%	43.4%	+0.7 pp	215	QBs reached 2+ pass TD in 44.2% of games, vs 43.4%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 70+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 70+ rec yds →	16.9%	16.6%	+0.3 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 70+ rec yds in 16.9% of games, vs 16.6%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 40+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 40+ rec yds →	39.6%	39.2%	+0.4 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 40+ rec yds in 39.6% of games, vs 39.2%. Not a clear difference.
RB 50+ rush ydsSee the games for RB 50+ rush yds →	52.0%	49.8%	+2.2 pp	279	RBs reached 50+ rush yds in 52.0% of games, vs 49.8%. Not a clear difference.
QB 200+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 200+ pass yds →	64.2%	63.8%	+0.4 pp	215	QBs reached 200+ pass yds in 64.2% of games, vs 63.8%. Not a clear difference.
QB 225+ pass ydsSee the games for QB 225+ pass yds →	52.1%	50.9%	+1.2 pp	215	QBs reached 225+ pass yds in 52.1% of games, vs 50.9%. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE 50+ rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE 50+ rec yds →	30.8%	29.7%	+1.0 pp	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) reached 50+ rec yds in 30.8% of games, vs 29.7%. Not a clear difference.
RB avg rush ydsSee the games for RB avg rush yds →	55.7	55.9	−0.2	279	RBs averaged 55.7 rush yds, vs 55.9. Not a clear difference.
WR/TE avg rec ydsSee the games for WR/TE avg rec yds →	39.9	38.4	+1.4	1,040	Receivers (WR/TE) averaged 39.9 rec yds, vs 38.4. Not a clear difference.
Avg marginSee the games for Avg margin →	0.5	-0.0	+0.5	206	Average margin +0.5 vs −0.0 in the baseline. Not a clear difference.
QB avg pass ydsSee the games for QB avg pass yds →	230.5	226.3	+4.3	215	QBs averaged 230.5 pass yds, vs 226.3. Not a clear difference.
Avg scoredSee the games for Avg scored →	22.5	23.0	−0.4	206	Teams scored 22.5 points a game, vs 23.0. Not a clear difference.
Avg allowedSee the games for Avg allowed →	22.0	23.0	−1.0	206	Teams allowed 22.0 points a game, vs 23.0. Not a clear difference.
game totalSee the games for game total →	44.6	46.0	−1.4	206	Teams averaged 44.6 game total, vs 46.0. Not a clear difference.

The games every game behind these numbers

Every game that counts toward the rates above, newest first. Hit (green) means the thing being measured happened in that game; Miss (red) means it didn’t. Averages (points, margin, totals) show the actual number with no color. Player and team-scoring lists can also be colored by a second method, picked with the “Hit or miss means” switch: did they go over their own season average entering that game (earlier games that season only, at least 3 of them; not a Vegas line). Click any game for the full breakdown. The list follows the season window above and adds up exactly to the published numbers.

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Definitions

The spot: Previous game (same season) went to OT (NFL/NBA: >4 periods in ESPN linescores; NHL: OT or shootout)
Baseline: Other team-games
All-time seasons: 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, through 2026-11-09
Sample rule: game/team grain: 200+ distinct games; league-wide player grain: 100+ player-games from 30+ games; player-specific: 30+ games; plays: 200+; and BH q<=0.1 for "published". The same rule applies inside every season window.
pp: Percentage points: the difference between two rates. For example, 40% versus 62% is −22 percentage points. A minus means the rate was lower than the baseline; a plus means it was higher. This is a description of the rates, not a betting instruction.

“X+” means the value reached X or more, so a push can’t happen. Intervals are the wider of a 95% Wilson interval and a game-clustered interval. Shorter windows are recomputed from the games in those seasons, never scaled from the all-time rate. See the methodology.