The full research catalog
Findings
Every situation we measured, with how often the thing happened in that spot next to how often it happens typically. Showing the 97 Edges first: the ones that held up after accounting for team or player quality.
Same edges, easier to scan: Model Tracker · Coming up: This week’s edges · Pick Myths checked or All below to see the other 1,379 rates. Open any spot to see every game, marked Hit or Miss.
All time. Every stored season.
- NFL 2020 to 2026 (7 seasons); 2026 in progress, through 2026-11-09
- NBA 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11
- NHL 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11
This season. The season currently underway: every stored game so far, through the same evidence date as all time.
- NFL 2026, in progress: 136 games through 2026-11-09
- NBA 2026-27, in progress: 170 games through 2026-11-11
- NHL 2026-27, in progress: 290 games through 2026-11-11
Last season. The most recently completed full season only. The current, in-progress season is not included.
- NFL 2025 (1 season)
- NBA 2025-26 (1 season)
- NHL 2025-26 (1 season)
Last 5 seasons. The most recent 5 seasons, including the current season if it is underway.
- NFL 2022 to 2026 (5 seasons); 2026 in progress, through 2026-11-09
- NBA 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11; only 4 seasons stored, so this equals all time
- NHL 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11; only 4 seasons stored, so this equals all time
Last 10 seasons. The most recent 10 seasons, including the current season if it is underway.
- NFL 2020 to 2026 (7 seasons); 2026 in progress, through 2026-11-09; only 7 seasons stored, so this equals all time
- NBA 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11; only 4 seasons stored, so this equals all time
- NHL 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11; only 4 seasons stored, so this equals all time
Last 20 seasons. The most recent 20 seasons, including the current season if it is underway.
- NFL 2020 to 2026 (7 seasons); 2026 in progress, through 2026-11-09; only 7 seasons stored, so this equals all time
- NBA 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11; only 4 seasons stored, so this equals all time
- NHL 2023-24 to 2026-27 (4 seasons); 2026-27 in progress, through 2026-11-11; only 4 seasons stored, so this equals all time
| League | Spot | Measure | In the spot | Typically | Games |
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pp means percentage points: the difference between two rates. For example, 40% versus 62% is −22 percentage points. A minus means the rate was lower than the baseline; a plus means it was higher.